Friday, August 17, 2018

Trump and Truth

A philosopher explains America’s “post-truth” problem (Vox)
“We can never really be post-truth.”
By Sean Illing@seanillingsean.illing@vox.com

     ...To get some answers, I reached out to Simon Blackburn, a philosophy professor at Cambridge University and the author of On Truth. We talked about what’s misleading about the phrase “post-truth,” and why the real problem may stem from a lack of trust....

BLACKBURN: …There’s always been selection of news — people basically read what they want to hear and gloss over things they don’t want to hear. I don’t think that’s a new phenomenon. But it has become easier to do this, and the insidious power of things like Facebook and Twitter exaggerates it.

ILLING: Is the phrase “post-truth” useful? Does it capture something unique about this moment?

BLACKBURN: I think there are legitimate concerns out there, which I sympathize with, but I don’t think this phrase pinpoints them accurately. The message of my book [On Truth] is that you cannot be post-truth.
     You know perfectly well that if you go out in the street and there’s a bus bearing down on you, it’s very important that you believe that there’s a bus bearing down on you. If you’re wrong about that, you could be dead. Your whole life is premised on things like that.
     In that sense, we can never really be post-truth.
     What we do have, though, is a problem in other domains, like politics and religion and ethics. There is a loss of authority in these areas, meaning there’s no certain or agreed-upon way of getting at the truth.
     This is a very old problem in philosophy that goes all the way back to Plato, so it’s not exactly new — although it’s interesting that it’s come to the fore again in the way that it has.
. . .
ILLING: Even the most ardent Trump supporter doesn’t challenge his oncologist’s cancer diagnosis, or walk into a physics conference and question the validity of string theory. It’s only when a proposition is contaminated by politics that truth suddenly flies out the window.

BLACKBURN: The problem is that in politics, people get very attached to hope. They hope for a vision which may or may not be realistic, and may or may not be grounded in truth and facts.
     It’s a bit like conspiracy theorists, who actually thrive on the fact that all the evidence points against their theory, because that just shows that the establishment is clever enough to conceal what’s really going on. People get attached to certain ideas and nothing will shake them. And when convictions start to live in opposition to reason or truth, that’s a very dangerous thing.
     . . . In [my] book, I write about a great American pragmatist, Charles Sanders Peirce, who thought that doubt was such an uncomfortable position that people would do almost anything to seize on a belief or conviction that removed it.
     I think that’s what we’re seeing in politics.
. . .
     One of the first things that a serial liar wants to do is undermine your trust in the providers of fact that would check his lies. If you’re a criminal bent on asserting your innocence, then you undermine trust in the police. You undermine trust in the judiciary. You may be a murderer and a rapist, but you claim it’s the system that’s against you. This is sort of Trump’s best move: It’s the thing he understands most.
     He sprays around accusations of fake news while knowing full well that he’s the liar. It’s a tactical move that absolutely works in a media landscape like ours, and he knows it.

ILLING: …If the choice is between believing something false that provides meaning and comfort or believing something that’s true but inconvenient, why choose the latter?

BLACKBURN: It’s a good question, and I’m not sure how to answer it concisely. Of course, many people vote with their feet, in terms of believing something that’s false but provides meaning and comfort. After World War I, many people thought they could talk through mediums to their dead children, and unsurprisingly, a whole industry of fake mediums appeared to help them.
     Like Nietzsche, who I know you’ve written about, I’m very cautious in matters of truth. If there is no evidence for a belief and lots of evidence against it, it should not matter what you would like to be true or hope or wish to be true. Follow the probabilities and put up with the inconvenience.
     That’s an academic or a scholar speaking, but it has always been the only hope for human progress

Thursday, August 16, 2018

Flex week follies

     Finally went to the college today, a step from a long, hot summer into a chirpy and earnest new semester.
     When I got to the Liberal Arts Building, I encountered several colleagues and friends who complained about President Roquemore’s then-occurring “Breakfast” and “Welcome,” held at the Performing Arts Center. It featured, they said, an inexplicable presentation by an Automobile Club executive about “texting and driving.”
     Don’t do it, he said, I guess.
     Members of the audience were perplexed and annoyed. The situation was sufficiently absurd that some people just walked out.
     “WTF?” they told me.
     I was also told that the session was very poorly attended. The story is that Roquemore had moved the session to Thursday precisely because he was sick and tired of low turnouts on Monday.
     But today’s turnout was especially bad. He even commented on it.
     A sour note.



     Evidently the fellow is unaware that he is a distinctly unpopular president. He is not respected, and he is not liked.
     Nevertheless, the clueless fellow has been the chief exec at IVC for 16 miserable years.
     —Oh. He also showed some baby pics. Sans music.
     Whatever.

     A couple of days ago, at the (new) Chancellor’s welcome, also held at the IVC Performing Arts Center, things came off without a hitch, or so I'm told. The new Chance seemed promising.
     That was followed by the usual SOCCCD Faculty Association Meeting and Luncheon, where the head of the union’s contract negotiating team laid out the facts about summer’s negotiations.
     With the Chancellor and some of the Board present, Comrade Long laid it all out. It was devastating. Or so I'm told.
     The Board is seriously low-balling the faculty, both full-time and part-time. It's as plain as day.

     Below, I’ve posted some videos about opening sessions and board meetings (etc.) from 10 years ago and 20 years ago. Enjoy.

TEN YEARS AGO:


     For some reason, the execrable Raghu Mathur was fascinated with Elvis, and he somehow befriended the "OC Elvis." In the spring of '08, the latter was hired to do his ultra-kitchy Elvis/Neil Diamond show for the Chancellor's Opening Session.
     For this occasion, Raghu arranged for some sort of direct involvement in the entertainment—and it somehow went seriously haywire. Never found out the how or why (Trustee Fuentes alludes to some kind of snafu). And so we all—i.e., OC Elvis, Tom, and the audience—waited while the Vegas-era Elvis music played. But Raghu the Entertainer failed to emerge. Finally, Raghu broke through the drapes and.....
     What did he think he was doing? No-one knows, as near as I can tell. Perhaps the idea was that there can be no greater pleasure, no more elevating experience, than beholding the Great Man, Raghu, lip-sincing Elvis.
     What an asshole.
     One time Raghu showed up as Johnny Carson's "Carnac" character. Sheesh. I'll try to dig that up.

FALL 2008












20 YEARS AGO






Hooker 'n' drug activity?

Monday, August 13, 2018

UnF*ckingBelievable

For-Profits Keep Access to Billions in Aid 
(Inside Higher Ed)
     Education Department's decision to drop gainful-employment rule will mean lowest-performing programs keep $5.3 billion over next decade.
    By Andrew Kreighbaum - August 13, 2018
     More than 2,000 career education programs serving over half a million students risked losing access to Title IV federal student aid under the Obama administration’s gainful-employment rule.
     Those programs look to be in the clear after Education Secretary Betsy DeVos said Friday she plans to rescind the regulation.
     The move, which was widely expected and reported weeks earlier, is the latest step by DeVos to roll back Obama era student loan regulations that largely targeted the for-profit college sector. The announcement also made clear the Education Department’s new preference for consumer information in place of accountability rules that could trigger the loss of access to federal aid for programs that perform poorly on federal standards.
     Rescinding the rule, the department estimates, will mean an additional $5.3 billion over 10 years goes to programs, most of them for-profit, that would likely otherwise be cut off from federal funds -- about $4.5 billion of that from Pell Grants and the rest from student loans.
. . .
     Bob Shireman, a senior fellow at the Century Foundation, said that taken together those steps amount to a “not-so-implicit stamp of approval on predatory colleges, while simultaneously stripping what few protections students have to protect themselves against abuse.”....

Saturday, August 11, 2018

This Fire, this morning

Again, the small green dots at left represent the Reb's place (upper) and my place (lower).
The fire is much bigger than it was 24 hours ago. But it has not yet (it seems) crossed westward
past Santiago Peak. The fire is very big, but its rate of growth has shrunk considerably in the
last 12 or so hours. Wind is 5 mph and headed east. Containment is about 30%. So things
are looking up.
Here is the latest update from the US Forest Service:

Steep inaccessible terrain continues to be a factor to spread into new areas and align for strong head fire runs and lateral movement. Fire continues to spread east and north with only limited spread to the west. The fire will continue to impact subdivisions along the foothills of Riverside County. There remains the daily potential for an "Elsinore" down slope event. The fire spread will be an impact to Orange County Subdivision of El Cariso Village. The atmosphere over the fire continues to be very unstable and will allow for large smoke column development and active to extreme fire behavior. Fire continues to directly impact communities during the next shift.

The incident has issued mandatory evacuation notices for Mayhew/Sycamore Creek, Glen Eden, Machado and South El Cariso, Riverside and voluntary evacuations in Shoreline zones. The evacuation area covers 7,449 single family homes and numerous commercial structures with estimated evacuees totaling 21,484 people.
There are hard road closures for the areas under evacuation order. Until these closures are lifted, residents are not permitted back to check on or get small animals.
After completing a structure assessment in the Holy Jim community, there are 12 confirmed structures lost during the initial attack phase of the fire.
The incident is now in unified command with US Forest Service, CAL Fire, Riverside County Fire, Orange County Fire Authority, and the California Highway Patrol.

Forecasted weather for the fire area will see temperatures between 91-97 and relative humidity of 30-40 percent and could see gusty winds to 25 mph from the west and strong down slope winds on the eastern slopes of the fire. These conditions will increase the likelihood of extreme fire behavior as well as heat illness issues for the firefighters and the public. Monsoonal moisture coupled with an approaching eastern hurricane will increase instability and bring scattered thunderstorms to portions of Southeastern California. This combination will result in a period of near critical fire weather over the Holy Fire. Drying and warming over the weekend with gusty local winds with midlevel moisture will return to the area leading to more instability, gusty winds and a chance for thunderstorms.
Your everyday Republican has some galling views,
Washington Post
     …Let’s lead with a poll conducted by the global marketing firm Ipsos and reported by the Daily Beast. It found that 43 percent of self-identified Republicans said they believed “the president should have the authority to close news outlets engaged in bad behavior.”
     When asked if President Trump should shut down The Post, CNN and the New York Times, 23 percent of Republicans said yes….

Roy's obituary in LA Times and Register: "we were lucky to have you while we did"

  This ran in the Sunday December 24, 2023 edition of the Los Angeles Times and the Orange County Register : July 14, 1955 - November 20, 2...