Thursday, December 3, 2020

Canyons burn in heavy wind; Wide area of evacuation

     Winds got started, late Monday, but not too strong at first. Hours later, my sister drove up (about 1:00 a.m.) to tell of a "big, fast-moving fire" headed our way. The winds were pretty strong by then. It didn't look good. (The fire came close enough to see and feel, back in 2007; we had to run.)
     Got a call from the Reb: the scariest fire yet, she said; everything on fire in this hellish wind. Their power had been cut; in darkness, they were informed by neighbors about the evacuation order. They were already evacuated, by the time they called, standing in a Mission Viejo parking lot worrying, with friends.
     Woke up to better news: the winds were dying down. No direct threat (to us, in Live Oak Cyn) for now, given the winds (moving to the Southwest, towards Loma Ridge). Under voluntary evacuation orders since last night. Still today. No appreciable winds, though; not here.
     In late afternoon, we were informed that our power would be cut some time in the next 24 hours. So I'll be out of commission as a blogger at that point. In communicado (lack of cell coverage) and nervous. Thank God for car radios and candles.
     All is well here, so far, however. The Reb and fam got to their cabin a hundred miles to the north. Their Modjeska home is likely OK for now. We're waiting for the dust to settle, find out what's happened exactly. Still don't know.
     It's been quite a year. And the craziness promises to continue. (5:00 p.m., 12-3-20)


Silverado Canyon Burns Again As Bond Fire Erupts Under High Winds 
—Voice of OC 
Article last updated at 11:31 a.m. 
     Evacuation zones for the rapidly-growing Bond Fire are being expanded to thousands of residents in communities near Orange County’s inland canyons, as the county’s third major wildfire of the season burns south from Silverado. 
     Officials announced mandatory evacuations mid-Thursday morning in the north Lake Forest communities of Portola Hills and Barrego Canyon, and evacuation warnings in nearby communities, including Trabuco Canyon. 
     Voluntary evacuation warnings also were issued for the North Tustin communities of Lemon Heights and Cowan Heights, as well as the northern Irvine neighborhood of Orchard Hills. That’s in addition to existing evacuation orders in the canyon communities of Silverado and Modjeska Canyon. 
     The fire spread rapidly overnight amid high winds, with 7,200 acres burned and 0% containment as of noon as hundreds of firefighters continued to battle the blaze. Multiple buildings are reported to have burned in the fire, which reportedly started as a structure fire. 
     “We have received reports that there may be multiple structures damaged from the fire. We are in the process of verifying the number involved and the extent of damage,” Orange County Fire Authority officials said via Twitter Thursday morning…. 
     It’s the second time in two months that a wildfire in Orange County’s residents are being urged to evacuate the inland canyons and nearby communities as a quickly-growing wildfire rages in the canyons....

Areas of evacuation

Actual fire area; see dot, bottom right; that's us


Wednesday, December 2, 2020

12-2: Student Loan Crisis Looms; S.F. bans tobacco smoking inside apartment buildings, allows cannabis smoking

✅ OC Continues to Grapple With Skyrocketing Coronavirus Cases and Hospitalizations
 
State public health officials estimate 12 to 13% of new cases will end up in hospitals a few weeks down the road. 
—Voice of OC 

Education Secretary Betsy DeVos didn't offer any reassurances as student loan borrowers near having to make payments again. 
—Inside Higher Ed 
     ….In less than a month, on Dec. 31, a moratorium President Trump had put in place excusing most borrowers from making payments on their loans will expire…. 

—CHE 
     The economic fortunes of college towns have long been tightly linked to the students who learn and live there. But with fewer students attending college in the wake of the global pandemic — and with many who are enrolled learning from home — economic activity in some college communities has plummeted.

Intellectual curiosity has been replaced by pro forma attention to representation. 
—CHE 
     You might recall the strange case of Matthew J. Mayhew, a professor of educational administration at Ohio State University. In late September he co-wrote an opinion piece in Inside Higher Ed enumerating the many supposed virtues of college football. A week later he issued, in the same venue, an abject apology for the piece, which, he now confessed, had not recognized the various ways his support of collegiate athletics perpetuated white supremacy, and had failed to center the voices of people of color. “I am just beginning to understand,” he wrote, “how I have harmed communities of color with my words. I am learning that my words — my uninformed, careless words — often express an ideology wrought in whiteness and privilege.”

✅ S.F. bans tobacco smoking inside apartment buildings, allows cannabis smoking -- San Francisco residents who live in apartment buildings with three or more units will no longer be allowed to smoke tobacco inside their homes — but they can still smoke cannabis, under a new ordinance the Board of Supervisors passed on Tuesday. Trisha Thadani in the San Francisco Chronicle$ -- 12/2/20

Tuesday, December 1, 2020

Please take note

 ✅ Justice Dept. investigated potential ‘bribery-for-pardon’ operation involving White House 

Court records show that U.S. prosecutors this summer and fall looked into a scheme in which a large political contribution would be offered in exchange for a presidential pardon.

—WashPo

12-1: November coronavirus surge a ‘train wreck in slow motion’; Anti-Black discrimination at Southwestern College?

✅ Many OC Businesses Might Be Shut Down by Gov. Gavin Newsom Because of Rapid Coronavirus Spread 
State public health officials project Southern California intensive care units could be maxed out before Christmas. 
—Voice of OC
     ….OC and all of Southern California counties are in the Purple Tier, the most restrictive tier, on the state’s reopening system because of rising case rates. That means no indoor operations restaurants, gyms, places of worship and movie theaters, while further limiting indoor operations at retailers. 
     State public health officials are ringing alarm bells, warning hospitals could be nearly maxed out with patients by Christmas time, unless additional measures are taken like more business restrictions and a stay-home order…. 
     Orange County saw its coronavirus hospitalizations increase threefold in less than a month — a rate never before seen locally in the pandemic. 
     The daily case increases and hospitalization trends are causing concern for local public health experts. 
     “It’s like we’re working our way backward to a new peak. And that’s not good. We want to keep going in the down direction and not in the up direction,” said UC Irvine epidemiologist and public health expert Andrew Noymer….. 
     “I’m worried about Thanksgiving. It won’t show up in the data until about a week after today. So watch out,” Noymer said in a Friday phone interview. “Absolutely brace for impact.”… 

✅ November coronavirus surge a ‘train wreck in slow motion’ -- Andrew Noymer, an epidemiologist at UC Irvine, said he is truly worried about how much the virus spread over Thanksgiving and what’s to come this winter. “We’re not going to just hit the July peak again, we’re going to exceed it,” he said. Nikie Johnson in the Los Angeles Daily News$ -- 12/1/20 

✅ 
California considers strict stay-at-home orders as COVID-19 cases projected to exceed ICU capacity -- Coronavirus cases are rising so rapidly that Gov. Gavin Newsom says if trends continue he may reimpose strict stay-at-home orders like he issued in March to prevent hospitals from becoming overwhelmed. Sophia Bollag in the Sacramento Bee$ Don Thompson Associated Press Alexei Koseff in the San Francisco Chronicle$ Maggie Angst in the San Jose Mercury$ Luke Money, Rong-Gong Lin II in the Los Angeles Times$ Ian Wheeler in the Orange County Register -- 12/1/20 

✅ Early data on learning loss show big drop in math, but not reading skills -- Anational testing organization that predicted school closures last spring would leave students far behind where they should be academically as they entered schools this fall released data Tuesday showing the reality, while worrisome, was less dire. John Fensterwald EdSource -- 12/1/20 

✅ New lawsuit alleges years of anti-Black discrimination at Southwestern College -- It has been 18 months since researchers from the University of Southern California exposed “a palpable climate of anti-Blackness at Southwestern College” that included Black employees being called racial slurs and being overlooked for promotions. Gustavo Solis in the San Diego Union-Tribune$ -- 11/30/20 

—Inside Higher Ed 
     A group of 153 Nobel laureates has signed a letter expressing concern for an imprisoned Swedish-Iranian disaster medicine scholar, Ahmadreza Djalali, who is reportedly facing possible imminent execution in Iran. As Politico reported, Djalali was sentenced to death in 2017 on charges of spying for Israel, charges he denies. Human rights groups have condemned his conviction as unfair, saying a confession was extracted under torture…. 

—CHE

Court records show that U.S. prosecutors this summer and fall looked into a scheme in which a large political contribution would be offered in exchange for a presidential pardon.
—WashPo

Monday, November 30, 2020

Oh good

Dr. Scott Atlas resigns from Trump administration 
—CNN 
     Washington (CNN) Dr. Scott Atlas, a highly controversial member of the White House's coronavirus task force, has resigned from his post in the Trump administration. 
     A source familiar with what happened told CNN that Atlas turned in his resignation letter to President Donald Trump on Monday. As a special government employee, Atlas had a 130-day window in which he could serve and that window was technically coming to a close this week. 
     Atlas tweeted out a photo of his resignation letter later Monday. In the letter, he said his "advice was always focused on minimizing all the harms from both the pandemic and the structural policies themselves, especially to the working class and the poor." 
     "I sincerely wish the new team all the best as they guide the nation through these trying, polarized times," he wrote, apparently referring to President-elect Joe Biden's incoming coronavirus team…. 
     Atlas' months-long stint in the White House was marked by controversy as he became a close adviser to Trump on the pandemic, adopting public stances on the virus much closer to the President's -- including decrying the idea that schools cannot reopen this fall as "hysteria" and pushing for the resumption of college sports. 
     In one extraordinary episode in October, Twitter removed a tweet from Atlas that sought to undermine the importance of face masks because it was in violation of the platform's Covid-19 Misleading Information Policy, according to a spokesman for the company. 
     And earlier this month, he criticized coronavirus restrictions in Michigan, urging residents in the state to "rise up" against the measures. The comments came weeks after officials thwarted an alleged domestic terrorism kidnapping plot against Democratic Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, who herself has been the subject of harsh criticism from the President and other Republicans amid the pandemic….

Atlas had become widely disliked in the White House — even among aides who shared his view that the country should reopen with few restrictions. 
—WashPo

11-30: Prosecuting Trump

✅ Cramming may help for next-day exams. But for long-term memory, spacing out study is what works.
 
—WashPo 

Students are again seeking pass-fail options for this anything-but-normal fall. Institutions are far less lenient than they were in the spring -- with some exceptions. 
—Inside Higher Ed 

—Inside Higher Ed 
     Sarah Fuller of Vanderbilt University kicked off in the second half of a football game against the University of Missouri on Saturday, becoming the first woman to play in a Power Five football game, The Tennessean reported. 
     Fuller, a senior goalkeeper for Vanderbilt's women's soccer team, was asked to join the football team after COVID-19 contact tracing depleted the roster of specialists.

—Inside Higher Ed 
     While college athletes may earn scholarships, there are strict bans on companies or others paying them money. But The New York Times reported that National Collegiate Athletic Association and college rules do not apply to cheerleaders, "meaning they can sell autographs, appear in commercials and wear their cheer uniforms while promoting products as social influencers, without fear of being disciplined." The story examines the business relationships between companies and top cheerleaders, including contracts with Nissan, Amazon, FabFitFun, Colgate, SmileDirectClub and Urban Decay....

Tax fraud and obstruction of justice are just the start. 
—Mother Jones 
     Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, Joe Biden, James Comey, Christopher Steele, John Bolton, a Time journalist, flag burners—this is just a partial list of the people Donald Trump has wanted to see imprisoned during his ignominious presidency. Yet the moment he steps out of the White House, shedding the sheath of immunity that enshrines all presidents, it is Trump who should be most concerned about a legal reckoning. His list of alleged offenses, committed both during and before his presidency, includes tax and bank fraud, obstruction of justice, bribery, defamation, and more. Legal experts have even debated whether Trump could face criminal charges connected to his woeful response to the coronavirus pandemic…. 
     According to the New York Times and other news outlets, Trump is keenly aware of the legal jeopardy he confronts as a private citizen and, as a result, was particularly fearful of losing the election. In fact, the possibility that he might be charged with a crime has been on Trump’s mind for much of his presidency. After the 2017 appointment of Mueller to oversee the Russia investigation, Trump declared in a tweet that he had the right to pardon himself. Some legal experts have speculated he might attempt such a gambit prior to leaving office. 
     However, says Philip Bobbitt, a professor at Columbia University who specializes in constitutional law, presidential pardon power is not unlimited. He raises what he says is a more likely scenario, similar to what occurred in 1974 when Richard Nixon resigned and was promptly pardoned by Gerald Ford. In the waning days or hours of his presidency, Bobbitt speculates, Trump could invoke the 25th Amendment and briefly surrender presidential authority to allow Mike Pence to pardon him. Alternatively, Trump could resign on the final day of his term, leaving Pence to momentarily assume the presidency and absolve his former boss of all federal crimes....

Roy's obituary in LA Times and Register: "we were lucky to have you while we did"

  This ran in the Sunday December 24, 2023 edition of the Los Angeles Times and the Orange County Register : July 14, 1955 - November 20, 2...