Saturday, December 8, 2007

A perfect storm of foolishness?

'FRAID SO. From this morning’s LA Times: Staying put in Orange County:
…Worried county officials had called the mandatory evacuation when forecasts called for 1 to 3 inches of rain. The concern was heightened by fears from federal hydrologists that there was a serious risk of mudslides in severely burned watersheds above Modjeska Canyon and two neighboring canyons. Maps released by the U.S. Geological Survey on Friday backed up earlier findings: Because the Santiago wildfire burned so hot above the canyons at the end of October, there are not even charred roots left on many slopes. There is just a sheer, waxlike surface that could propel rainwater, boulders and debris downhill into creek beds that can roar through the inhabited canyons. "Imagine a wall of mud coming down that creek in just seconds . . . a moving body of mud, water, whole trees, pieces of houses, cars, all mixed up like a chocolate milk shake," said Bob Scheibel, a structural engineer who lives in Modjeska Canyon. …[R]epeated evacuation orders coupled with milder conditions than predicted are already reducing the effectiveness of the orders [to evacuate]…Officials have warned residents to expect more evacuation orders in the future and are concerned that evacuation fatigue could set in, resulting in residents' opting to ride out a storm only to put themselves in harm's way if disaster strikes….

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Lovely pictures of crepuscular rays, Chunk! It's hard to blame Modjeska residents for "evacuation fatigue," poor things. They'll have a hard winter, which hardly seems fair after their really hard fall....

Anonymous said...

Who you callin' a knucklehead!

Roy's obituary in LA Times and Register: "we were lucky to have you while we did"

  This ran in the Sunday December 24, 2023 edition of the Los Angeles Times and the Orange County Register : July 14, 1955 - November 20, 2...