Sunday, November 8, 2020

The Day After: Get real, everybody (Spiky!)


✅Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez on Biden’s Win, House Losses, and What’s Next for the Left 
—NYT

OR

✅
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ends truce by warning ‘incompetent’ Democratic party, 
New York representative denies Movement for Black Lives and Green New Deal cost seats
—Guardian
     ...Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has criticised the Democratic party for incompetence in a no-holds-barred, post-election interview with the New York Times, warning that if the Biden administration does not put progressives in top positions, the party would lose big in the 2022 midterm elections. 
     Signaling that the internal moratorium in place while the Democrats worked to defeat Donald Trump was over, the leftwing New York representative sharply rejected the notion advanced by some Democrats that progressive messaging around the Movement for Black Lives and the Green New Deal led to the party’s loss of congressional seats in last week’s election. 
     The real problem, said Ocasio-Cortez, was that the party lacked “core competencies” to run campaigns. “There’s a reason Barack Obama built an entire national campaign apparatus outside of the Democratic National Committee,” she told the Times’ Astead Herndon. “And there’s a reason that when he didn’t activate or continue that, we lost House majorities. Because the party – in and of itself – does not have the core competencies, and no amount of money is going to fix that.”....
“If I lost my election, and I went out and I said: ‘This is moderates’ fault. This is because you didn’t let us have a floor vote on Medicare for all.’ And they opened the hood on my campaign, and they found that I only spent $5,000 on TV ads the week before the election?” Ocasio-Cortez said. “They would laugh. And that’s what they look like right now trying to blame the Movement for Black Lives for their loss.” 
     Grassroots activism that produced large turnout in Detroit, Philadelphia and Georgia was crucial to Biden’s win, and if the Democratic party fails to recognise that and incorporate the grassroots, the party disintegrates at the ballot box, Ocasio-Cortez said. 
     “It’s really hard for us to turn out nonvoters when they feel like nothing changes for them. When they feel like people don’t see them, or even acknowledge their turnout,” Ocasio-Cortez said. 
     “If the party believes after 94% of Detroit went to Biden, after Black organisers just doubled and tripled turnout down in Georgia, after so many people organised Philadelphia, the signal from the Democratic party is the John Kasich won us this election? I mean, I can’t even describe how dangerous that is.”....
     The Ocasio-Cortez interview is full of frank impressions freely shared. Asked what her “macro takeaway” was from the election, she said: “Well, I think the central one is that we aren’t in a freefall to hell anymore.”....
     “So I need my colleagues to understand that we are not the enemy,” she said. “And that their base is not the enemy. That the Movement for Black Lives is not the enemy, that Medicare for all is not the enemy. This isn’t even just about winning an argument. It’s that if they keep going after the wrong thing, I mean, they’re just setting up their own obsolescence.” 
     Appearing on CNN later in the day, Ocasio-Cortez said: “Progressives have assets to offer the party that the party has not yet fully leaned into... Every single swing seat member that co-sponsored Medicare for All won their re-election, and so the conversation is a little bit deeper than saying anything progressive is toxic.”

—NYT


Todays OC Covid numbers

Johns Hopkins

Friday, November 6, 2020

11-6: In Trump-loving Newport Beach, the faithful make no apologies

✅In Trump-loving Newport Beach, the faithful make no apologies
-- It is a sentiment widely felt in this coastal cradle of wealth where Trump’s well-heeled supporters have clung to hope this week with the election results up in the air. On Tuesday, they thrilled as the president seemed headed toward a polls-busting victory. By Wednesday, uncertainty crept in. By Thursday, optimism waned. Hailey Branson-Potts in the Los Angeles Times$ -- 11/6/20 

✅Arellano: In Orange County, pretending coronavirus is fake news wins you elections -- For the last four years, reporters and politicos have descended upon my native Orange County like detectives at a murder scene. The victim: O.C.’s reputation as a GOP kingmaker. Gustavo Arellano in the Los Angeles Times$ -- 11/6/20 

✅Coronavirus updates: California reports highest one-day case total since late August -- Though it remains too early to definitively call it a surge, California’s coronavirus activity is growing more concerning by the day. Michael McGough in the Sacramento Bee$ -- 11/6/20 

✅California proves it’s not as liberal as you think -- The myth of lockstep liberal California took a hit this election. Jeremy B. White Politico -- 11/6/20 
     Voters in the deep-blue state rejected a progressive push to reinstate affirmative action, sided with technology companies over organized labor and rejected rent control. They are poised to reject a business tax that had been a decades long priority for labor unions and Democratic leaders....

✅
Powerful, wealthy interest groups keep tight grip on California proposition system -- California voters were first empowered to govern by ballot measure in 1911. But it took almost seven decades and the anti-tax crusade of a cantankerous, fist-shaking businessman to reveal the political strength of a direct democracy tool that has come to redefine the state’s politics ever since. John Myers in the Los Angeles Times$ -- 11/5/20

Education in Maryland and Colorado could get a financial boost from voters' decisions, but California's community colleges lose out. 
—Inside Higher Ed 
     … Proposition 15 in California suffered a narrow loss, with the Associated Press reporting 51.7 percent of votes opposed. The proposition would have taxed commercial properties worth more than $3 million at their fair market value, rather than the value at the time they were purchased. It was a revision of Proposition 13, passed in 1978. Opponents argued that it would have serious ramifications on businesses due to the economic fallout of the COVID-19 pandemic…. 

—CHE

Thursday, November 5, 2020

Some OC election results (not yet final numbers)


     Chris McDonald is 4 votes (!) behind the frontrunner in his Lake Forest City Council race (District 1). Will there be a recount? [See tally here.]
     Nothing else has changed, really. Porter (House of Reps) had an easy win against knuckle-dragger Raths. SOCCCD trustee incumbents (Wright, Jemal), because they are incumbents, sailed to victory, though one might have thought they'd get better numbers (and challenger Dacks did surprisingly well). Inmon replaces Lang, and that's great. Irvine City Council is transformed in a good way, I think.
     UPDATE (7:30 pm): as a reader observed, McDonald is now up by a few votes.
     UPDATE (11-6): McDonald is down by 33 votes.

Turns out, Chris is behind Cirbo by 4 votes

No real change here

Nor here

Nor here

Nor here


11-5: The young preferred Biden—except young white men; OC Supes fail to acknowledge "equity" health efforts, pushing back on "tiers"; Covid future in US dismal (thanks, Don)

—Voice of OC 
     Orange County Supervisors have yet to publicly acknowledge their county health officer, Dr. Clayton Chau’s, push to address chronic health conditions in poor neighborhoods, and instead continue to fight against the state’s business reopening system. 
     Chau, also the director of the OC Health Care Agency, announced the creation of a new agency position to work with nonprofits and community organizations to get into neighborhoods that are hit the hardest by the virus.… 
     “The pandemic truly brings and pushes the issue of health equity to the forefront and these issues existed way before the pandemic,” Chau said at a news conference last Thursday. “Not only in Orange County, but all over our state and country.” 
     Yet not one county Supervisor mentioned the community health effort or asked Chau about it at Tuesday’s coronavirus update during their most recent regular public meeting. 
     Instead, Supervisor Chairwoman Michelle Steel fought back against the four-tiered reopening system and wants some type of credit from state public health officials for empty hospital beds so OC can reopen more businesses. 
     And last month, county Supervisors fought back against the state requirement that counties lower positivity rates in the hardest hit areas before moving into the next tier on the state’s business reopening system — known as the health equity metric…. 

✅Orange County holds out in red tier as coronavirus case rate climbs -- Two weeks of growing rates of coronavirus cases have shunted Orange County off track from advancing to the less-restrictive orange tier of the state’s pandemic tracking system. Instead, the county is backpedaling toward the most-restrictive purple tier, according to state health department data released Wednesday, Nov. 4. Ian Wheeler in the Orange County Register -- 11/5/20 

✅After election, Irvine looks poised to change its mayor and half its council 
—OC Reg 

Analysis finds voters under age 30 preferred Biden over all, with young people of color voting for him by the largest margins. Young white men preferred Trump. 
—Inside Higher Ed 

✅Why affirmative action measure failed in California -- In a year in which the nation was confronted with racial injustice and a divisive presidential contest inflamed its partisan divide, advocates fighting to reinstate affirmative action programs in the deep-blue state of California saw the November election as their best opportunity in decades. Phil Willon, Teresa Watanabe in the Los Angeles Times$ -- 11/5/20

✅Even if Biden wins, Bay Area Democrats are horrified 68 million voters backed Trump -- Instead, even as Biden’s electoral path to the White House improved Wednesday, Democrats remained shell shocked that President Trump didn’t just keep his base, he expanded it by nearly 5 million voters. Julia Prodis Sulek in the San Jose Mercury$ -- 11/5/20 

✅Trump and his allies boost bogus conspiracy theories in a bid to undermine vote count -- President Trump, his son and top members of his campaign on Wednesday advanced a set of unfounded conspiracy theories about the vote-tallying process to claim that Democrats were rigging the final count. Isaac Stanley-Becker, Tony Romm, Elizabeth Dwoskin and Drew Harwell in the Washington Post$ -- 11/5/20 

—Inside Higher Ed 

—WashPo (Opinion)

—CNN
     ...The United States reported its highest number of new coronavirus infections in a single day -- 102,831 on Wednesday, according to data from Johns Hopkins University. 
     And it's not just due to more testing. New cases have increased 21% over the past week, according to Johns Hopkins. But testing has only increased 4.52% over the past week, according to the Covid Tracking Project....

From NYT

Wednesday, November 4, 2020

Some OC election results (thus far)


For more up-to-date numbers, go HERE

More OC Blueness

Yep, that's our Chris McDonald; he'll be busy, I guess
UPDATE [6:48 pm, Nov 4): at present, McDonald has 1,687 votes to Doug Cirbo’s 1,691.
UPDATE [Nov 13: Cirbo is up by 17 votes. No trend.]

Shea loses! Agran and crew might be in

The only surprise here: how well Ryan Dack did against the incumbent, Wright

Porter prevailed as expected. But 46% wanted the odious Raths? Geez.


OC's Covid numbers today

CNN

11-4: The media and pollsters blew it again; Online cheating surges during pandemic; Young voters—when not cheating online—choose Biden

—New York Times: “The Morning” 
     Joe Biden is now the favorite to win the presidency, and Republicans are favored to keep Senate control — but both results are far from certain. And Democrats failed to win the resounding victory that pre-election polls had suggested they could....
     The outcome is unclear in six swing states — Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — and all are still counting votes. We may get some final vote counts today, while others could take a few days. 
    “Biden’s the favorite, even if narrowly, just about everywhere,” Nate Cohn of The Times tweeted, listing five of the six states above (all but North Carolina). Sean Trende of RealClearPolitics agreed: “Would probably rather be Biden than Trump.”....

✅Online cheating surges during the pandemic; universities struggle to find a solution -- Like students everywhere during the pandemic, Aguilar, a junior at San Francisco State University, was attending school and taking a test from home under the watchful eye of no one. It would have been easy to Google the answer, and Aguilar admits he was tempted. But he didn’t. Nanette Asimov in the San Francisco Chronicle$ -- 11/3/20 

—Inside Higher Ed 
     Young voters aged 18 to 29 supported Joe Biden over Donald Trump by a nearly two-to-one margin in the election, according to an analysis of Associated Press polling data by the Center for Information and Research on Civic Learning and Engagement at Tufts University, in Massachusetts.
      The Tufts institute estimated that 62 percent of young voters voted for former vice president Biden, while 33 percent voted for Trump…. 

—CHE 

—WashPo 

✅Presidential election hangs in balance as Trump falsely asserts fraud and makes a claim of victory -- The presidential election in a country convulsed by crisis was headed toward a potential legal showdown early Wednesday morning, with President Trump prematurely declaring he had won even as Democratic nominee Joe Biden had paths to victory and key states continued to tally votes. Philip Rucker, Toluse Olorunnipa and Annie Linskey in the Washington Post$ -- 11/4/20 

✅Prop. 16: Voters rejecting a measure to restore affirmative action in government agencies and public universities -- California was poised to retain its ban on affirmative action for government agencies and public universities, with voters rejecting a ballot measure that would again allow the consideration of race and sex in state hiring, contracting and admissions decisions. Alexei Koseff in the San Francisco Chronicle$ Thomas Peele EdSource-- 11/4/20 

✅Orange County investigates report of fake polling site, complete with ‘I Voted’ stickers -- Orange County officials said Tuesday that they were investigating reports that someone established a fake voting center at the headquarters of a City Council candidate in Westminster and accepted ballots and handed out “I Voted” stickers. Adam Elmahrek in the Los Angeles Times$ -- 11/4/20 

✅
California, 3 other states sue to allow new immigrant applications to DACA program -- The Trump administration is ignoring the law and a Supreme Court ruling by slashing eligibility for DACA, the program allowing young undocumented immigrants to live and work legally in the United States, California and three other states said in a lawsuit Monday. Bob Egelko in the San Francisco Chronicle$ -- 11/4/20 

—Inside Higher Ed 
     Peter Sysak, president of the Cuesta College Board of Trustees, is under fire because of numerous comments he posted on his personal Facebook page about a large number of marginalized groups -- comments that one instructor described as "disparaging and so derogatory," the San Luis Obispo Tribune reported....
      “We live in a society where homosexuals lecture us on morals, transvestites lecture us on human biology, baby killers lecture us on human rights and socialists lecture us on economics,” read one post that Sysak shared to his page. The post was originally shared by Occupy Snowflakes….

Roy's obituary in LA Times and Register: "we were lucky to have you while we did"

  This ran in the Sunday December 24, 2023 edition of the Los Angeles Times and the Orange County Register : July 14, 1955 - November 20, 2...